US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 3168%▼4%Yes 68¢No 33¢December 3137%▼4%Yes 37¢No 63¢+2 more outcomes$48.9M Vol · $387K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?UAE96%Yes 96¢No 4.2¢No Talks by December 31, 20273%Yes 3.1¢No 97¢+27 more outcomes$293K Vol · $57K 24h · Jan 1, 2028
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)11%▼1%Yes 11¢No 90¢1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium10%▲1%Yes 10¢No 90¢+4 more outcomes$1.6M Vol · $48K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?4%Yes 4.1¢No 96¢$2.2M Vol · $47K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?December 3136%Yes 36¢No 65¢November 3017%▼2%Yes 17¢No 84¢$3.9M Vol · $37K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?December 31, 202645%▼1%Yes 45¢No 56¢November 30, 202628%▼1%Yes 28¢No 73¢$1.5M Vol · $9.0K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?December 3125%▼4%Yes 25¢No 76¢November 3014%▼2%Yes 14¢No 86¢$3.7M Vol · $7.1K 24h · Nov 1, 2026
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?4%Yes 3.5¢No 96¢$18.6M Vol · $3.3K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?No Meeting by December 3155%▲1%Yes 55¢No 45¢Qatar17%▼1%Yes 17¢No 83¢+17 more outcomes$256K Vol · $3.0K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)December 3182%Yes 82¢No 18¢November 3070%Yes 70¢No 30¢+3 more outcomes$898 Vol · $1.8K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Abbas Araghchi41%▲1%Yes 41¢No 59¢Steve Witkoff40%▼1%Yes 40¢No 60¢+22 more outcomes$2.1M Vol · $1.1K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)December 3127%▼3%Yes 27¢No 73¢November 3025%▲6%Yes 25¢No 76¢+1 more outcomes$120K Vol · $262 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?33%Yes 33¢No 67¢$44K Vol · $66.60 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)20%Yes 20¢No 81¢$26K Vol · $60.00 24h · Dec 1, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?December 31, 202731%▲1%Yes 31¢No 69¢June 30, 202719%▲1%Yes 19¢No 82¢+2 more outcomes$8.7M Vol · $40.31 24h · Jan 1, 2027
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?10%Yes 9.5¢No 91¢$337K Vol · $40.00 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?March 3119%▲1%Yes 19¢No 81¢December 316%Yes 6.0¢No 94¢$1.4M Vol · Apr 1, 2027