
NATO · Geopolitics · Politics
$1.4M Vol · $279 24h · $38K liquidity · Live odds refresh every few seconds
June 30, 2027
6%
95% chance
$1.5K Vol · Ends Jan 1, 2028
7%
▲ 2%
6%
3%
$1.5K Vol · $279 24h · $4.6K liquidity
Yes 5.5¢
6%
No 95¢
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Public market rules. Live odds refresh every few seconds
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