
Politics · Trump · Cabinet Shakeup
$2.2M Vol · $136K 24h · $427K liquidity · Live odds refresh every few seconds
Pete Hegseth
39%▲ 6%
62% chance
$310K Vol · Ends Jan 1, 2027
39%
▲ 6%
28%
▲ 1%
24%
▲ 2%
17%
▼ 4%
14%
▲ 1%
12%
▼ 3%
12%
▼ 1%
10%
▼ 13%
$310K Vol · $40K 24h · $55K liquidity
Yes 39¢
39%
No 62¢
62%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Public market rules. Live odds refresh every few seconds
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