
Geopolitics · Lebanon · Hezbollah
$121K Vol · $0.00 24h · $12K liquidity · Live odds refresh every few seconds
December 31
5%
5% chance
$27K Vol · Ends Jan 1, 2027
5%
$27K Vol · $0.00 24h · $12K liquidity
Yes 5.0¢
5%
No 95¢
95%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Public market rules. Live odds refresh every few seconds
From the public market feed. These are not Elyodds accounts.