
Politics · Mexico · Extradite
$37K Vol · $0.00 24h · $11K liquidity · Live odds refresh every few seconds
December 31
18%▲ 1%
18% chance
$9.3K Vol · Ends Jan 1, 2027
18%
▲ 1%
$9.3K Vol · $0.00 24h · $11K liquidity
Yes 18¢
18%
No 82¢
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sinaloa Governor Ruben Rocha Moya is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Public market rules. Live odds refresh every few seconds
From the public market feed. These are not PREBET accounts.