$78.5M Vol · $161K 24h · Nov 3, 2026
Senate · Midterms · Politics
$61K Vol · $663 24h · $166K liquidity · Live odds refresh every few seconds
State A
50%
50% chance
$0.00 Vol · Ends Nov 4, 2026
95%
50%
50%
50%
50%
50%
13%
▲ 13%
11%
▲ 10%
$61K Vol · $663 24h · $166K liquidity
Yes 50¢
50%
No 50¢
50%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US State gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider all regular and special gubernatorial elections that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. For the purposes of this market, US State is defined to exclude territories, the District of Columbia, and any other subdivision that is not a state. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Public market rules. Live odds refresh every few seconds
From the public market feed. These are not PREBET accounts.
